TACF Articles

Defaults on credit card debt continues to soar and it is about to get worse for the banks issuing the cards. A proposed change in a Federal Accounting Standard could jack up the default rate by a third requiring banks to increase their reserves which in turn would decrease the capital available to lend.

So what does that mean for the consumer?

If you are seriously behind on your credit card bill and you see no way to pay it on a timely basis, now is the time to negotiate a discounted cash settlement. You may be able to save thirty to forty percent of what you owe. It’s a good idea to use a non-profit credit counseling service to walk you through the process and develop a plan to pay for the settlement.

Because of a change in the FAS, banks will be required to bring “off the book loans” and put them “on the books”. It has been a common practice for banks to bundle credit card loans into an investment vehicle and sell them to the market. These loans, because they are investment vehicles, did not have to be shown on the bank’s balance sheet.

Bank regulations require that a cash reserve be kept to cover bad debt on loans. However, since the off the books investment packages are not included on the bank’s balance sheet, there is no requirement to keep a cash reserve for them.

The accounting change will require that off the books loans be placed on the balance sheet and be subject to the requirements of any other loan. What this means is banks will need to greatly increase their cash reserves. To give an idea of how big an impact this will have; American Express says it will have to add $28 billion to its loan balance, Discover $20 billion and Citigroup, a bailout recipient, has to add $98 billion.

Billions of dollars will be needed to cover the cash reserve requirement once those new loans are added to the books. Banks know that at least 10% of the loans are bad and the potential for that to go up is very real. The more defaults, the more the reserve needs to be replenished. As a result, banks are motivated to accept settlements for less than the amount owed. In fact some banks are making the first contact with card holders who are behind offering discounted deals.

If a consumer is already behind on their credit card bill their credit score is already trashed. There really is no downside to negotiating a discounted settlement providing you have the cash to do it. Credit counseling organizations can provide ideas on how best to handle the deal. This could be a time where the consumer can eliminate some serious debt.